2025-26 Toronto Maple Leafs General Discussion

[cw]

blogTO: Toronto Maple Leafs now have worst playoff odds of all Canadian NHL teams​

Toronto Maple Leafs now have worst playoff odds of all Canadian NHL teams

The Toronto Maple Leafs are in all sorts of trouble ahead of the holiday season. It's been a nightmare year for the Leafs so far, sitting at the bot…

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NHL Playoff Odds -MoneyPuck 2026 Playoff & Cup Odds

NHL Playoff Odds updated many times a day. Stanley Cup Odds, Playoff seeding, and Draft Lottery Odds

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These are slightly less pessimistic

2026 NHL Post Season Probabilities

The 2026 NHL Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds.

www.playoffstatus.com

Playoff Probabilities Report | Hockey-Reference.com

Probability of making the Stanley Cup playoffs

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NHL Standings Projections & Playoff Odds | HockeyStats.com

Who's in the NHL playoff picture, and who's likely to sneak back in? Standings with playoff probabilities and points projections, updated daily.

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Chances of winning a Cup range from 0.4% to less than 1%

Those numbers can change over the next 40+ games but they have to start soon.
Regardless, even if they improve, it is increasingly difficult, if not impossible, to perceive this team as a true contender.
They probably need to start looking further down the road to make their roster decisions for this season.
A lot of their older UFAs won't want to hang around for a rebuild.

 

[ZBBM]

I'm not sure what to make of Auston's postgame remarks. Number one, he made them — he didn't hide, which is good. He says he thinks the process was a lot better even if the result wasn't. But he didn't offer to take personal responsibility (the media people in the scrum sure aren't going to press him) for what I gather were some pretty bad plays at key moments.

But he is trying to keep a positive outlook (or says his is)/ What else can he say/do?

 

[Chris]

He said "I’d like that play back at the end of the second," which is about the closest I've heard him come to taking blame for something tangible.

From the replay, that play was a lot like the one by Robertson a few games ago. If the other team doesn't score, no one is talking about it. But both were somewhat risky plays to be making late in a period when the team is in a fragile state. At least Matthews got back to break up the initial rush - Knies didn't get back to deal with the eventual scorer. I still say he is fighting a lingering injury.

Of course, Woll should have stopped it anyway.

 

[Andy007]

I thought it might be me, but I didn't watch last night and it sounds like they turned in another uninspiring performance.

I am tempted to put the game on tonight. In past years I would expect this to be a game where the Leafs show up and actually come out on top. However, I think this entire group - coaching staff and players - is too fragile right now. I expect another Edmonton-type game.

I don't think I can even bring myself to watch, which I don't think has happened in my past 30-35 years of intent watching.

I'm not even sure who the brunt of this mess falls upon. While I don't think the criticism of Treliving is entirely unearned, is he responsible for Matthews, Rielly, Nylander and Knies looking absolutely awful for (most) parts of the season? Laughton was a solid 11-13 goal, 30-35 point player for years, who suddenly can't crack 20 points here. Carlo was acquired as a 28 yo, 6'5, "bonafide" 2nd pairing, RHD with 2 additional years of control on a very reasonable cap hit. On paper that seems like a great deal (particularly by comparison to other deadline deals). Why do these players come here and die?

Now, the fact that we have Trotsky's wet dream when it comes to wingers (ALL LEFTIES!); a bunch of big, non-mobile defensemen, and nothing to show for the Cap savings left by Marner's departure, makes me tend to believe that Treliving shouldn't be in control of turning this around. That being said, there is definitely a huge problem in the system and Berube, clearly, is not making any type of positive impact. Constantly outshot, unable to maintain puck possession and the inability to get shots on net. That is an awful hockey product.