Werenski signs bridge deal with Columbus

[herman]

Do we have or need a rumour thread?
https://twitter.com/KevinWeekes/status/1171072490782822400

That'd be a beautiful bridge deal that we could only dream of...

 

[CarltonTheBear]

https://twitter.com/reporterchris/status/1171077779527491584

CJ confirms.

 

[herman]

So does Portzline
https://twitter.com/Aportzline/status/1171076729592582144

 

[herman]

Darren(s): "Marner is easily worth 3M+ AAV more than Werenski"

 

[Zee]

Wow a 3 year bridge deal that's under $9M!? Say it so Dreger!

 

[CarltonTheBear]

EvolvingWild had him pegged for $5.9mil on a 3-year deal. So even for a bridge deal this seems low.

 

[Zee]

EvolvingWild had him pegged for $5.9mil on a 3-year deal. So even for a bridge deal this seems low.

How does evolving wild base their predictions? They had Gardiner at $6M for a 4 year deal which was way off.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

EvolvingWild had him pegged for $5.9mil on a 3-year deal. So even for a bridge deal this seems low.

How does evolving wild base their predictions? They had Gardiner at $6M for a 4 year deal which was way off.

You can read a pretty detailed explanation of their model here: https://hockey-graphs.com/2019/05/17/projecting-nhl-skater-contracts-for-the-2019-offseason/

As for Gardiner, I'm not really sure there's anything to gleam from that. Everyone seems to understand that Gardiner came in well below market value. That happens sometimes.

 

[Nik]

Never underestimate the importance of the team's salary structure I guess. Nobody on Columbus is making more than 6 million and Jones is only at 5.4.

 

[Zee]

EvolvingWild had him pegged for $5.9mil on a 3-year deal. So even for a bridge deal this seems low.

How does evolving wild base their predictions? They had Gardiner at $6M for a 4 year deal which was way off.

You can read a pretty detailed explanation of their model here: https://hockey-graphs.com/2019/05/17/projecting-nhl-skater-contracts-for-the-2019-offseason/

As for Gardiner, I'm not really sure there's anything to gleam from that. Everyone seems to understand that Gardiner came in well below market value. That happens sometimes.

I immediately went to check on his Marner prediction (because why wouldn't I?) And he's got Marner at 8 years $9.6M which would be an absolute homerun deal for the Leafs.  Given where we're at that seems like an impossible pipe dream.  He also has an 8 year deal as the most probable outcome at 42.6%. I wish.

 

[CarltonTheBear]

I immediately went to check on his Marner prediction (because why wouldn't I?) And he's got Marner at 8 years $9.6M which would be an absolute homerun deal for the Leafs.  Given where we're at that seems like an impossible pipe dream.  He also has an 8 year deal as the most probable outcome at 42.6%. I wish.

Just a very minor point that you might not actually care about, but it's actually two people that run that account/site. Twin brothers.

 

[herman]

I immediately went to check on his Marner prediction (because why wouldn't I?) And he's got Marner at 8 years $9.6M which would be an absolute homerun deal for the Leafs.  Given where we're at that seems like an impossible pipe dream.  He also has an 8 year deal as the most probable outcome at 42.6%. I wish.

Just a very minor point that you might not actually care about, but it's actually two people that run that account/site. Twin brothers.

It was an amazing day when hockey Twitter learned that news.

 

[Zee]

I immediately went to check on his Marner prediction (because why wouldn't I?) And he's got Marner at 8 years $9.6M which would be an absolute homerun deal for the Leafs.  Given where we're at that seems like an impossible pipe dream.  He also has an 8 year deal as the most probable outcome at 42.6%. I wish.

Just a very minor point that you might not actually care about, but it's actually two people that run that account/site. Twin brothers.

This news doesn't make me any happier about the current state of the Marner negotiation.

 

[herman]

https://twitter.com/EvolvingWild/status/1171094728311484417

EW: ?\_(ツ)_/?

 

[Frank E]

Capfriendly has year 3 at $7m.

Edit:  Although unconfirmed

 

[Frank E]

Looks like they've still got that room to offer-sheet Marner.